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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #4708

"Climate change, agricultural production and international trade: a CGE analysis"
by Mougnol, William, Gankou Jean-Marie Fowagap, Soh Syrie Galex and Ronie Nguenkwe


Abstract
The main objective of this study is to analyze the implications of climate change on agricultural production and international trade in Cameroon. Specifically, in order to study the effects of strategies or policies for adapting to climate change that could be implemented by the policy, we are looking through a static computable general equilibrium model to break the conditional logic combos coming from climate change on agricultural production and agricultural exports from Cameroon. So, after using the SAM of Cameroon in 2007, the basis for the ECAM III micro simulation and data from the 2013 Statistical Yearbook on climate change in Cameroon are studied in the context. The impact of climate change is introduced on the basis of pessimistic and optimistic hypotheses drawn from a literature review and expert consultation. The results show that 40% of shock on climate change leads to negative effects on production and agricultural exports. A variation is observed (-7.97)% of agricultural production and (-32.79)% on agricultural exports from Cameroon.

Keywords :Climate change, agricultural production, international trade, CGE.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: Other CGE Application
Status: Not published
By/In:
Date: 2015
Version:
Created: Mougnol, W. (4/14/2015)
Updated: Batta, G. (5/1/2015)
Visits: 988
- Calibration and parameter estimation
- Climate change policy
- Africa (Central)


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