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GTAP Resource #160

"Implications of an EU Eastern Enlargement under a new Common Agricultural Policy"
by Lotze-Campen, Hermann and Claudia Herok


Abstract
In preparing for an Eastern enlargement it is almost certain that the EU has to modify the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP). Four scenarios for an Eastern enlargement in 2005 under a simplified CAP are analyzed within a multiregion CGE model. Two possible development paths up to the date of enlargement are taken into consideration. Under a partial liberalization of the CAP, agricultural output and domestic welfare in CEEC rise after EU integration, but it is questionable whether the new members would still comply with their WTO bindings. Under a complete liberalization of the CAP, agricultural output in CEEC declines after EU integration. EU expenditures on agricultural policy are heavily reduced, which would provide room for more general structural aid for the new members.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: GTAP Application
Status: Published
By/In: Journal of Policy Modeling 22 (6), pp. 661-690
Date: 2000
Version:
Created: Bacou, M. (9/27/2000)
Updated: Lotze-Campen, H. (7/19/2001)
Visits: 1,631
- Agricultural policies


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