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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #1977

"Comparing Bilateral and Multilateral ASEAN+4 Free Trade Agreements Possible Impacts on Member and Non-member countries"
by Bchir, Mohamed Hedi and Michel Fouquin


Abstract
Preferential Trade Agreements of all kinds (from Free Trade to Custom’s Union, and Regional Community, from bilateral to regional) are since the nineties spreading all over the world. Almost every country is member of at least one agreement. Many agreements -at least the most important ones- are organised on a continental basis such as Europe, America, Africa or more recently Asia. These regionalisation trends have revived the research on their economic rationale and on their compatibility with multilateral agreements.

Asia movement toward regionalisation –known as ASEAN-10+3, +4 or +6 - is relatively new and may become of major importance as it concerns notably Japan -one of the most advanced economy in the world- and the two biggest emerging countries in the world China and India. These countries have contributed (Japan) or will contribute (China and India) to shape a completely new world. Their economic integration with ASEAN and their possible impact on the world economy using a CGE model are the subject of this article .

In a first section we will give a rapid overview of the literature on regional agreements and analyse the making of ASEAN; in a second section we will define our baseline and scenarios; in a third part will be dedicated to the analysis of the main results for scenario 1; in the fourth part we will give scenario 2 results, then we conclude.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2006 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 9th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
Date: 2005
Version:
Created: Fouquin, M. (4/25/2006)
Updated: Fouquin, M. (4/25/2006)
Visits: 2,352
- Foreign direct investment
- Technological change
- Dynamic modeling
- Calibration and parameter estimation
- Asia (East)


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