Resource Center

Advanced Search
Technical Papers
Working Papers
Research Memoranda
GTAP-L Mailing List
CGE Books/Articles
Important References
Submit New Resource

GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #2456

"China’s growth and African Poverty: the case of Southern Africa Exports"
by Villoria, Nelson B., Thomas Hertel and Alejandro Nin-Pratt

African countries have become important suppliers of China in products such as oil, timber and metals. Given the prospects of continuing growth in China, and with it, continuing demand for natural resources, this paper explores the effects of China’s demand for African products on Africa’s poor populations. The analysis focus on countries in Southern Africa, specifically: Malawi, Mozambique, South Africa and Zambia. Export growth during the period 1995-2004 is analyzed employing a modified version of the GTAP model to simulate poverty effects of economic shocks. Close scrutiny of the data reveals that the bulk of export growth is highly concentrated in terms of products and countries. For non-oil producers, China absorbs a relatively small portion of total exports, concentrated on minerals and metals. For agricultural exporters, China’s relevance as an export market is negligible. Even in South Africa, a relatively large economy with a manufacturing exporter profile, China is mainly a market for diamonds and some metals. In the simulations we find little evidence, to date, that China’s growth has had a strong impact on the poor in Southern Africa.

Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: GTAP Application
Status: Not published
Date: 2007
Created: Villoria, N. (5/2/2007)
Updated: Batta, G. (5/2/2007)
Visits: 2,585
- Economic development
- Economic analysis of poverty
- Asia (East)
- Africa (Southern)

If you have trouble accessing any of the attachments below due to disability, please contact the authors listed above.

Public Access
  File format GTAP Resource 2456  (396.5 KB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)

Restricted Access
No documents have been attached.

Special Instructions
No instructions have been specified.

Comments (0 posted)
You must log in before entering comments.

No comments have been posted.