Resource Center

Advanced Search
Technical Papers
Working Papers
Research Memoranda
GTAP-L Mailing List
GTAP FAQs
CGE Books/Articles
Important References
Submit New Resource

GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #2704

"Validating a detailed, dynamic CGE model of the U.S.: progress report"
by Dixon, Peter and Maureen Rimmer


Abstract
For many years we have been using computable general equilibrium models in Australia and the U.S. to generate detailed forecasts of output growth for commodities/industries. Our main objective is to provide realistic basecases from which to calculate the effects of policy changes. In this paper, we have started assessing our forecasting method. Using data available up to 1998, we apply the method with the USAGE model to generate “genuine forecasts” for 500 U.S. commodities/industries for the period 1998 to 2005. We then compare these forecasts with actual outcomes.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2008 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 11th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Helsinki, Finland
Date: 2008
Version:
Created: Dixon, P. (4/15/2008)
Updated: Dixon, P. (4/15/2008)
Visits: 2,265
- Dynamic modeling
- Calibration and parameter estimation
- Baseline development
- North America


Attachments
If you have trouble accessing any of the attachments below due to disability, please contact the authors listed above.


Public Access
  File format 2008 Conference Paper  (172.7 KB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)


Restricted Access
No documents have been attached.


Special Instructions
No instructions have been specified.


Comments (0 posted)
You must log in before entering comments.

No comments have been posted.