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GTAP Resource #3130

"Back to the Future: Dynamic Baselines in CGE Modeling"
by van der Mensbrugghe, Dominique

This paper describes the methodology used at the World Bank to develop dynamic scenarios using the Bank's global computable general equilibrium model. The dynamic CGE has been used in a number of contexts over the last 10 years including analysis of international trade policies, international migration, long-term development and structural change, the Bank's poverty forecast and more recently long-term commodity supply and prices and climate change scenarios. Though building dynamic scenarios requires significantly more exogenous inputs than the more standard comparative static analysis, it also leads to a richer set of policy questions that lie at the heart of many development issues.

Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2009 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 12th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Santiago, Chile
Date: 2009
Created: van der Mensbrugghe, D. (4/15/2009)
Updated: van der Mensbrugghe, D. (4/15/2009)
Visits: 3,115
- Economic growth
- Economic development
- Technological change
- Dynamic modeling

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