GTAP Resources: Resource Display
| GTAP Resource #3173 |
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"Can Arab Investments Promote Traditional Agriculture in Sudan? The Case of Cereals and Oilseeds in a Global Modeling Framework" by Siddig, Khalid, Getachew Abebe Woldie and Adam Ahmed Abstract Agricultural productivity in Sudan is historically known to be low, particularly in the traditional sector. TRUEBLOOD & COGGINS (2001) stated that, Sudan’s decrease in agricultural productivity during the period (1961-1991) was due to decreases in both efficiency and technology adoption. Similar studies focusing on Sudan ascribe the low productivity to technology, unskilled labour and less input use. Accordingly this study assesses the impact of improving skills of labour and increasing the capital allocated to the traditional agriculture. This is justified by the increasing allocation of Arab capital to the Sudanese agricultural sector. The paper employs the Global Trade Analysis project’s (GTAP) global Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model, and its Africa database as an underlying methodology with 12 sectors and 11 regions. Results show that, GDP, welfare, private income and consumption in Sudan will improve because of efficiency improvements. Moreover, output, trade balance, domestic demand, and exports of cereals and oilseed would apparently improve while their imports and domestic import demand will decline. Importantly, welfare levels and domestic imports demand of these sectors would also increase in both MENA and Egypt. |
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Public Access  GTAP Resource 3173 (216.6 KB) Replicated: 0 time(s)Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions No instructions have been specified. |
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Last Modified: 9/15/2023 2:05:45 PM
