GTAP Resources: Resource Display
| GTAP Resource #4786 |
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"INFORMATION FOR POLICY MAKING: NUMERICAL EXAMPLES OF POVERTY IMPACT OF TERMS OF TRADE SHOCKS IN ETHIOPIA USING A MINIATURE 124 MODEL AND BACK-OF-THE-ENVELOPE CALCULATIONS" by Evans, H. David, Niyati Ghelani and Gustavo Ramirez Abstract Typically, CGE models are large and complex, so that presentation of the essential results for policy makers is challenging. This paper combines two pieces of work carried out by the authors on Ethiopia. First, the well-known 123 minature CGE model (one country, two factors, three commodities) is rejected because it does not have a non-traded good, an unfortunate omission since eg about 1/3 of GDP in Ethiopia is non-traded. Our paper on a diagrammatic and mathematical exposition of a 124 miniature CGE model (one country, two factors and four commodities) is use to develop a diagrammatic presentation of the key results of a typical single country CGE model. Second, we have available a paper on a 22-commodity comparative static CGE model of Ethiopia based on historical data, including a decomposition of the poverty results for each of the policy experiments. This paper uses large historical terms of trade shock to the 22-commodity comparative static model to help flesh out diagrammatic versions of the 124 model and bote (back of the envelope) results including decomposition results. The bote summaries are in the spirit of Dixon and Rimmer as aids for understanding model results for practical policymaking, complementing our earlier decomposition of the poverty impacts by policy experiment in the 22-commodity Ethiopia CGE model. |
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- Economic analysis of poverty - Africa (East) |
| Attachments |
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If you have trouble accessing any of the attachments below due to disability, please contact the authors listed above.
Public Access  INFORMATION FOR POLICY MAKING: NUMERICAL EXAMPLES OF POVERTY IMPACT OF TERM (470.4 KB) Replicated: 0 time(s)Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions No instructions have been specified. |
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Last Modified: 9/15/2023 2:05:45 PM
