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GTAP Resource #5293

"The Implications of Chinas Pattern of Growth For the Rest of the World"
by Tokarick, Stephen


Abstract
Detailed estimates of the pattern of growth in China—capital accumulation, labor input growth, and changes in total factor productivity by sector—are used along with a global model of production and trade for 18 regions and 24 sectors to estimate how these developments affect other countries. The results show that the annual average TFP growth in China over the period 1982-2000 harms some economies, such as Korea and Japan, by reducing the prices of some key export goods, while benefiting other economies, such as Russia and sub-Saharan Africa, by improving their terms of trade. TFP growth in China also reduces output, employment, and real wages in some manufacturing sectors in the United States, the Euro Area, and Japan. In contrast, capital accumulation in China results in only welfare gains for most countries.

Keywords: technological change, welfare, terms of trade

JEL Classification codes: C68, F11, O33


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2017 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 20th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, West Lafayette, IN, USA
Date: 2017
Version:
Created: Tokarick, S. (4/14/2017)
Updated: Tokarick, S. (4/14/2017)
Visits: 702
- Asia (East)


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