GTAP Resources: Resource Display
| GTAP Resource #5567 |
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"Implications of Refugee Influx on Demographics, Labor Market, and Welfare" by Yakut, Aykut Mert Abstract The seven years of war in the Syrian territory has led to thousands of deaths, thousands of people to be disabled and orphan. The quarter of the before-war population of the country had to flee from their homeland. Nevertheless, as of mid-April 2018, it is hard to say that the war will be over in the near future. This paper focuses on the effects of more than 3.5 million displaced Syrians on the Turkish economy via intertemporal CGE analysis. The results support the previous findings of the reduced-form econometrics literature and reveal that such an influx of alone has limited and even negligible effects. On the other hand, due to increasing government expenditures in order to provide basic vital humanitarian services to those people, the picture changes remarkably. Higher inflation due to rapid depreciation is the major consequence in the short-run while higher government indebtedness, informality, and social security deficits are the primary negative phenomena in the long-run. |
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- Dynamic modeling - Demographics - Labor market issues - Migration - Europe (Southern) |
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Public Access No documents have been attached. Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions No instructions have been specified. |
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Last Modified: 9/15/2023 2:05:45 PM
