Resource Center

Advanced Search
Technical Papers
Working Papers
Research Memoranda
GTAP-L Mailing List
GTAP FAQs
Educational Materials
CGE Books/Articles
Important References
Submit New Resource

GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #5892

"THE IMPACTS OF CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE GENERATION OF HYDROELECTRIC ENERGY AND ITS EFFECTS ON THE BRAZILIAN ECONOMY BETWEEN 2020 AND 2050"
by Tanure, Tarik, Micaele Martins and Aline Magalhaes


Abstract
The processes of global warming and climate change affect the Brazilian national energy system, and the direct and indirect effects are extended to the economy from renewable and nonrenewable sources. In this sense, the objective of this work is to verify how the supply’s reduction of hydroelectric energy, caused by climate change, would impact the national economy and how the thermoelectric and wind power plants would compensate for this restriction. The work used a Computable General Equilibrium model (CGE), denominated BeGreen, to capture the effects of changes in energy sources on the Brazilian economy between 2020 and 2050, using the IPCC scenarios A2 and B2 as reference. The results of the simulations indicate price inflation and a fall in economic indicators, even when other sources of energy are stimulated to compensate for the drop in hydroelectricity generation. In terms of GDP, contrasting with the base scenario, there is a reduction of 0.14% when there is compensation through other sources of energy and a reduction of 0.38% when there is no compensation.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2019 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 22nd Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Warsaw, Poland
Date: 2019
Version:
Created: Magalhaes, A. (4/16/2019)
Updated: Magalhaes, A. (4/16/2019)
Visits: 370
- Climate change policy
- Climate impacts
- Water
- South America


Attachments
If you have trouble accessing any of the attachments below due to disability, please contact the authors listed above.


Public Access
  File format GTAP Resource 5892  (14.1 KB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)


Restricted Access
No documents have been attached.


Special Instructions
No instructions have been specified.


Comments (0 posted)
You must log in before entering comments.

No comments have been posted.