GTAP Resources: Resource Display
| GTAP Resource #6052 |
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"Global Value Chains and Directions of Japanese FDI in the Automobile Industry under the USMCA" by Hosoe, Nobuhiro Abstract We investigate the impact of US steel and aluminum tariffs, and the resumption of auto tariffs under the revised North American Free Trade Agreement, on trade in North America and foreign direct investment (FDI) from Japan, from the perspective of the auto industry. The results of policy simulation analyses with a recursive dynamic computable general equilibrium model are as follows. Canada and Mexico would benefit from US steel and aluminum tariffs, being alternative trade partners with both the US and other countries. Due to the auto tariffs on intra-North America exports, Canada and Mexico would lose a large part of the windfall benefits from the US steel and aluminum tariffs. Japan’s FDI in Canada and Mexico would fall sharply. The more de-integrated North American economies become, the more Japan would regain its auto production, although at a painful cost in terms of welfare. That negative welfare impact would be neutralized by abolition of auto tariffs with the US. |
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- Dynamic modeling - Multilateral trade negotiations - Preferential trading arrangements - Asia (East) - North America |
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If you have trouble accessing any of the attachments below due to disability, please contact the authors listed above.
Public Access  Paper (May 22 ver.) (424.9 KB) Replicated: 0 time(s) Presentation PPT (June 3 ver.) (886.1 KB) Replicated: 0 time(s)Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions No instructions have been specified. |
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Last Modified: 9/15/2023 2:05:45 PM
