GTAP Resources: Resource Display
| GTAP Resource #6201 |
|---|
|
"Assessing macro-economic effects of climate impacts on energy demand in EU sub-national regions" by Standardi, Gabriele, Shouro Dasgupta, Ramiro Parrado, Enrica De Cian and Francesco Bosello Abstract Energy demand is rising globally and future climatic conditions are likely to change the demands for different energy carriers required for different sectors of the economy. European policy makers are increasingly interested in having a more detailed spatial representation about the future macro-economic impacts coming from these climatic shifts in the energy consumption patterns. In this work we try to meet these policy needs by carrying out a macro-economic assessment of energy demand impacts at the sub-national level for the EU regions. We use the Inter-temporal Computable Equilibrium System (ICES) model, a neoclassical CGE whose regional coverage has been extended to the sub-county NUTS2 and NUTS1 EU regions. To control for climatic and socio-economic uncertainty we have examined nine RCP-SSP combinations. As inputs for the CGE assessment we have included twelve types of energy demands impacts consisting in three carriers (oil, gas and electricity) times four sectors (agriculture, industry, services and residentials). Results shows that negative macroeconomic effects may not be negligible in regions located in Southern Europe. By 2070 especially in SSP5-RCP8.5 and SSP3-RCP4.5 these negative effects can be bigger than 1% of GDP with a peak of -7.5% in Cyprus. The analysis also shows the importance of mitigation policies to reduce the adverse macro-economic effects. |
| Resource Details (Export Citation) | GTAP Keywords | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
- Climate impacts - Other data bases and data issues - European Union |
| Attachments |
|---|
|
If you have trouble accessing any of the attachments below due to disability, please contact the authors listed above.
Public Access  Paper (1.5 MB) Replicated: 0 time(s) Presentation (1.3 MB) Replicated: 0 time(s)Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions No instructions have been specified. |
| Comments (0 posted) |
|---|
|
You must log in before entering comments.
No comments have been posted. |
Last Modified: 9/15/2023 2:05:45 PM
