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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #7005

"A Structural Transformation Integrated Assessment Model of Climate Change"
by Koch, Johannes, Marian Leimbach and Marcos Marcolino


Abstract
We develop a global scale structural transformation integrated assessment model
to study the interaction between the sectoral reallocation of economic activity with
climate change and mitigation. We find that in most regions, global coordination in
face of climate damages shifts economic activity out of the manufacturing and into
the services sector, which is less energy intensive and can more easily substitute CO2
intensive energy. The only exception is the developing region of Sub-Saharan Africa,
where an increase in manufacturing, which is necessary to increase investment, can
be observed. Compared to an uncoordinated world, coordination comes with welfare
gains for developing regions and a decrease in emission intensity in all regions. The
role of structural change in the reduction of emission intensity is small however,
accounting for 7% of the decline, with sector-level efficiency improvements being
the more dominant channel. Under input assumptions of a climate stabilization
scenario, we find that coordination leads to lower redistribution of the emission
reduction effort between regions, and less sectoral reallocation overall, specifically
amongst developed regions.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2023 Conference Paper
Status: Not published
By/In: Presented during the 26th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis (Bordeaux, France)
Date: 2023
Version:
Created: Koch, J. (4/15/2023)
Updated: Koch, J. (6/15/2023)
Visits: 255
- Model extension/development
- Economic development


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