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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #704

"Regionalism, Trade and Growth: The Case of the EU-South Africa Free Trade Arrangement"
by Andriamananjara, Soamiely and Russell Hillberry


Abstract
In a sequential Computable General Equilibrium analysis, we investigate the likely effects of the EU-South Africa Free Trade Area (FTA), with a special emphasis on South Africa’s growth prospects. We find that the FTA would increase South African welfare as well as output. We note, however, that the gains are very modest when viewed in the context of the time period over which full adjustment to the treaty provisions is expected to occur. Only 2 percent of the economic growth expected over the next 18 years in South Africa can be linked to additional trade associated with the FTA. The long phase-in period and the partial benefits of regionalism limit the importance of trade as an engine of growth.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: GTAP Application
2001 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In:
Date: 2001
Version: n.a.
Created: (6/6/2001)
Updated: Bacou, M. (7/26/2002)
Visits: 1,665
- Preferential trading arrangements
- European Union


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