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GTAP Resource #7822

"Assessing the Role of Livestock Production Systems, Abatement Technologies, and Changing Diets in Meeting the Global Methane Pledge"
Authors: Golub, Alla, Maksym Chepeliev, Thiago Simonato, Carlos Gonzalez Fischer, Daniel Mason-D'Croz and Dominique van der Mensbrugghe


Abstract
Methane is a potent “super pollutant” with a shorter lifespan than carbon dioxide but a much stronger warming effect and significant health and environmental impacts through ground-level ozone formation. While recent policies have slowed methane emissions growth, global methane levels still increased between 2020 and 2023, suggesting that current efforts are insufficient to meet the Global Methane Pledge. Agriculture—especially livestock—is the largest source, yet remains politically sensitive and difficult to regulate. Only a small share of the second round of NDCs has time-bound agricultural methane emission reduction targets. This research uses new, detailed, up-to-date livestock data and methane abatement cost estimates within a global economic model to evaluate how direct pricing of methane, dietary shifts, and a combination of the two impact emissions, food systems, and the broader economy.


Resource Details () GTAP Keywords
Category: 2026 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented during the 29th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis (Kyoto, Japan)
Date: 2026
Version:
Created: Golub, A. (4/14/2026)
Updated: Golub, A. (4/14/2026)
Visits: 13
- Climate change policy
- GTAP Data Base and extensions
- Agricultural policies
- Not Applicable


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