GTAP Resources: Resource Display
| GTAP Resource #2169 |
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"A CGE Analysis of the Potential economic impacts of aquaculture promotion in Sub-Saharan Africa" by Kaliba, Aloyce Abstract There is increased interest and policy support towards aquaculture development in Africa. Aquaculture development programs have the potential of creating new jobs, improving food security among poor households, removing variability in household income flow, and increasing farm level efficiency and sustainability. This study used computable general equilibrium models for Ghana, Kenya, and Tanzania to estimate the effects on poverty alleviation from aquaculture production activity and productivity growth in intermediate inputs and primary factors. Using the head count ratio measure of poverty, it was determined that, in Ghana, about 17% of agricultural farmers lived below the poverty line, and about 19% of public sector employees lived below the poverty line of 665,300 GHC. The percentages for the private sector employee, non-farm self-employed and miscellaneous households were, respectively, 8%, 21% and 20%. In Kenya, more than 50% of the population lived below the poverty line of 14,868 KES in 2001. The most affected were female-headed households in rural areas. In Tanzania, 38% of rural households, and 23% of urban households lived below the poverty line. With aquaculture expansion, the general results of the study suggest that there will be positive effects in per capita income for all households in Ghana and Kenya. In Tanzania, some rich households will experience income loss due to resource shift from the fisheries and manufacturing sectors to aquaculture. The measure of poverty gap decreased in all households groups in all countries with aquaculture expansion. This was the result of decreases in poverty lines associated with decreases in relative price, and increases in the minimum income associated with income expansion. Sectoral-linkages incorporated in the models suggest that, aquaculture development is promising for sector-specific policy support to enhance poverty alleviation programs among poor households in Sub-Saharan Africa. |
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Public Access  GTAP Resource 2169 (142.2 KB) Replicated: 0 time(s)Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions No instructions have been specified. |
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Last Modified: 9/15/2023 2:05:45 PM
