Resource Center

Advanced Search
Technical Papers
Working Papers
Research Memoranda
GTAP-L Mailing List
GTAP FAQs
CGE Books/Articles
Important References
Submit New Resource

GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #4357

"Why can sectoral shocks lead to sizable macroeconomic fluctuations? Assessing alternative theories by means of stochastic simulation with a general equilibrium model"
by Sartori, Martina and Roberto Roson


Abstract
We use a global, computable general equilibrium model to estimate how idiosyncratic, independent shocks to sectoral productivity could bring about variations to real income in a country. Some theories have been elaborated to explain why relatively small sectoral shocks could lead to sizable macroeconomic variability. We process the results of our simula- tion experiments to assess the relative importance of a number of potential explanations, as well as of other factors not accounted for in theoretical models. We find that the variability of the GDP, induced by sectoral shocks, is basically determined by the degree of industrial concentration. We interpret the absence of significant inter-industry propagation effects as a consequence of the fact that, typically, a non-negligible share of in- termediate production factors is imported.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2014 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 17th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Dakar, Senegal
Date: 2014
Version:
Created: Sartori, M. (4/5/2014)
Updated: Sartori, M. (4/5/2014)
Visits: 1,578
- Model validation and sensitivity analysis
- Economic crisis


Attachments
If you have trouble accessing any of the attachments below due to disability, please contact the authors listed above.


Public Access
  File format GTAP Resource 4357  (536.6 KB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)


Restricted Access
No documents have been attached.


Special Instructions
No instructions have been specified.


Comments (0 posted)
You must log in before entering comments.

No comments have been posted.