Resource Center

Advanced Search
Technical Papers
Working Papers
Research Memoranda
GTAP-L Mailing List
GTAP FAQs
CGE Books/Articles
Important References
Submit New Resource

GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #4441

"Could Free Trade Alleviate Effects of Climate Change: A Global Analysis with Emphasis on Morocco and Turkey"
by Ouraich, Ismail, Hasan Dudu, Wally Tyner and Erol Çakmak


Abstract
This paper examines the interaction of globalization through trade liberalization and climate change, globally with a special focus on Morocco and Turkey. We use the standard GTAP model, which is a global general equilibrium model, to investigate trade liberalization welfare impacts under climate change, and its ability to provide mitigation and/or adaptation to potential losses. Our hypothesis was that trade liberalization would at least partially offset potential welfare losses induced by negative productivity shocks on agriculture. Our findings suggest that the world as whole benefits the more trade is liberalized. At the regional level, most regions under trade liberalization do not experience large enough welfare gains to offset welfare losses triggered by negative productivity impacts in agriculture. For Morocco, tariff elimination under all scenarios on average induces additional welfare loss compared with the climate change only scenario. Despite the gains in allocative efficiency accruing from trade liberalization, the latter are generally low and are offset by the substantial negative contribution of the terms of trade and investment-savings effects. For Turkey, trade liberalization induces net welfare gains under all scenarios. Nonetheless, these gains are not large enough to offset totally the initial loss under climate change. These results are primarily driven by the combined effect of allocative efficiency and terms of trade effects.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2014 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 17th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Dakar, Senegal
Date: 2014
Version:
Created: Ouraich, I. (4/14/2014)
Updated: Ouraich, I. (7/3/2014)
Visits: 1,599
- Climate change policy
- Climate impacts
- Trade and the environment
- Agricultural policies
- Multilateral trade negotiations
- Preferential trading arrangements
- Africa (North)
- Middle East


Attachments
If you have trouble accessing any of the attachments below due to disability, please contact the authors listed above.


Public Access
  File format GTAP Resource 4441  (2.2 MB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)
  File format GTAP Resource 4441_ppt  (1.2 MB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)
  File format NewClim.zip  (816.7 KB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)


Restricted Access
No documents have been attached.


Special Instructions
No instructions have been specified.


Comments (1 posted)
You must log in before entering comments.

Posted by: Ouraich, Ismail   4/14/2014 9:58:00 PM
The zip file 'NewClim.zip' contains the necessary files for running the simulations carried out for the paper. It requires an installation of RunGTAP software to run the simulations.