Resource Center

Advanced Search
Technical Papers
Working Papers
Research Memoranda
GTAP-L Mailing List
CGE Books/Articles
Important References
Submit New Resource

GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #5653

"Modelling the economic impact of the China Belt and Road Initiative on countries in Eastern Africa."
by Mukwaya, Rodgers and Andrew Mold

The purpose of this study is to evaluate the effect of People’s Republic of China’s Belt and Road initiative strategy on trade and welfare in Eastern Africa. In 2013, Chinese President Xi Jinping announced a proposal for a “Silk Road Economic Belt” and a “21st Century Maritime Silk Road”, formally known as Belt and Road Initiative(BRI). The BRI will be funded by a US$ 40 billion Silk Road Fund from the Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. The BRI routes will run through countries in Asia, Europe, and Africa. In Eastern Africa, the countries along the BRI include Kenya, Ethiopia, Tanzania and Djibouti. One of the BRI projects in Eastern Africa, the standard gauge railway is already under construction. It will connect the ports of Mombasa and Dar-es-salaam to Kenya, Uganda, Tanzania and Rwanda. The standard gauge railway is expected to reduce transport costs in the region, which has implications for trade and welfare.This study uses the Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) computable general equilibrium (CGE) model and the latest GTAP 10 database to analyse the effects of the establishment of the BRI. We conduct policy simulations (reduced transport costs for imports and exports) to evaluate the impact of the BRI on trade and welfare in Eastern Africa.

Keywords: General equilibrium; Economic integration; China; Africa
JEL Classification: F15, I32, L91, O19

Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2018 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented at the 21st Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis, Cartagena, Colombia
Date: 2018
Created: Mold, A. (5/8/2018)
Updated: Batta, G. (6/15/2018)
Visits: 3,450
- Non-Tariff barriers
- Africa (East)

If you have trouble accessing any of the attachments below due to disability, please contact the authors listed above.

Public Access
  File format Paper  (805.0 KB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)
  File format Presentation  (761.8 KB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)

Restricted Access
No documents have been attached.

Special Instructions
No instructions have been specified.

Comments (0 posted)
You must log in before entering comments.

No comments have been posted.