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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #6902

"Multilateral Context for EU-Australia Economic Cooperation"
by Gretton, Paul


Abstract
Following the GFC, growth in global trade has been sluggish with recent trade and regional tensions providing doubt as to whether these trends will change any time soon. There is, therefore considerable uncertainty about how the EU-Australian economic relationship will evolve over the next decades. This paper first uses longer-term projections of the global economy implemented in the GDyn-FS dynamic global general equilibrium model, to suggest global exports could expand to reach around 35 percent of global output by 2050 from the current level of around 30 percent. Such a change would likely be accompanied by a re-orientation of trade between regions and materially influence the EU-Australia economic relationship and global trading relationships more broadly. It then draws on differences between regions in energy demand, productive capital and the distribution of real wealth to provide a wider context for EU-Australia economic cooperation over the coming decades.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2023 Conference Paper
Status: Published
By/In: Presented during the 26th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis (Bordeaux, France)
Date: 2023
Version: Conference paper
Created: Gretton, P. (4/14/2023)
Updated: Gretton, P. (12/19/2023)
Visits: 225
- Baseline development
- Dynamic modeling
- Trade and the environment
- Economic development
- Economic growth
- Economic geography
- New quantitative trade models
- Asia (East)
- European Union
- North America


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  File format GTAP Resource 6902  (266.1 KB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)
  File format GTAP Resource 6902  (860.7 KB)   Replicated: 0 time(s)


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