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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #7015

"IMPACTS OF ECONOMIC GROWTH WITH FOREST PRESERVATION IN THE AMAZON AND CERRADO BIOMES IN BRAZIL"
by Souza, Gessica, Edson Domingues and Aline Magalhaes


Abstract
Brazil is a major agricultural producer and exporter, with agribusiness accounting for 26.6% of the country's gross domestic product (GDP). The growth of agriculture is the result of increased agricultural productivity and expansion over native vegetation. It is estimated that in 33 years, the country has lost 102 million hectares of natural vegetation, mainly in the Amazon and Cerrado biomes. This amount is equivalent to 3.1 Mha or 166 thousand stadiums in Maracanã per year. Deforestation causes direct and indirect changes in land use and increases in gross greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Brazil has ambitious GHG mitigation and deforestation reduction goals, facing a possible trade off between environmental conservation and economic growth. The main objective of this research was to analyze the economic and environmental impacts of “Green Growth” scenarios in the main Brazilian biomes. In these scenarios, in addition to eliminating deforestation for productive purposes, investments in the agriculture and livestock sectors were incorporated in order to simulate economic growth with forest preservation. The model built and used for this analysis, the Brazilian Biomes, Land Use and Emissions Economic Model (BLUME), brings important methodological advances for integrated economic modeling with environmental aspects in Brazil. The results indicate that simulated policies would be able to avoid part of national emissions at a relatively small cost compared to national GDP.


Resource Details (Export Citation) GTAP Keywords
Category: 2023 Conference Paper
Status: Not published
By/In: Presented during the 26th Annual Conference on Global Economic Analysis (Bordeaux, France)
Date: 2022
Version:
Created: Souza, G. (4/15/2023)
Updated: Souza, G. (5/11/2023)
Visits: 267
- Advances in quantitative methods
- Dynamic modeling
- Model extension/development
- Climate change policy
- Climate impacts
- Land use
- Domestic policy analysis
- Economic growth
- South America


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