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GTAP Resources: Resource Display

GTAP Resource #7676

"The Contribution of Technological Innovation to the Competitiveness of the Moroccan Economy: A Sectoral Approach Using CGE Modelling"
by Herraz, Ismail, Younes EL KHATTAB and Nabil El Baouchari


Abstract
This study examines whether technological innovation translates into improved export competitiveness across Moroccan sectors, using a computable general equilibrium (CGE) model calibrated on the 2019 Social Accounting Matrix (SAM). Competitiveness is assessed through two complementary trade indicators: Export Market Share (EMS) and Revealed Comparative Advantage (RCA). Technological innovation is captured via sectoral Total Factor Productivity (TFP), estimated as the Solow residual from a Cobb–Douglas production framework using national accounts data (HCP, 2023) covering 19 sectors over 1990–2023.
The CGE model is based on the PEP-1-1 standard (Decaluwé et al., 2013), with key adaptations: a wage curve to account for unemployment, disaggregated government expenditures, three labor categories (unskilled, medium-skilled, skilled), and three household groups (poor, medium, rich) enabling inequality analysis via Gini and Atkinson indices. Education and health accounts are also disaggregated.
Exogenous sectoral TFP shocks are simulated to assess macroeconomic and sectoral impacts on export performance. Results are expected to reveal heterogeneous responses across industries, identifying sectors where innovation effectively converts into competitive gains and those where structural constraints limit such transmission. This sectoral approach responds to Morocco's current industrial policy context, including its 2025–2027 Foreign Trade Roadmap, the "Made in Morocco" label, and the Tatwir R&D program, providing evidence-based insights for targeted competitiveness policy in an emerging economy.


Resource Details () GTAP Keywords
Category: 2026 Conference Paper
Status: Not published
By/In:
Date: 2026
Version: draft
Created: Herraz, I. (2/24/2026)
Updated: Herraz, I. (2/24/2026)
Visits: 7
- Other data bases and data issues
- Economic development
- Economic growth
- Technological change
- Calibration and parameter estimation
- Dynamic modeling
- Partial and general equilibrium models
- Econometric methods
- Africa (North)


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