GTAP Resources: Resource Display
| GTAP Resource #7846 |
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"A Deep-Dive of the EAT-Lancet 2 Global Diet into European Food Systems" Authors: Tassinari, Gianmaria, Maria Schubring, Thomas Fellmann and Ignacio Perez Dominguez Abstract Using the CAPRI agricultural market model coupled with the DIA comparative risk assessment framework, we assess how a unilateral EU adoption of the EAT–Lancet 2.0 diet would affect agricultural markets and diet-related mortality globally by 2050. The EU transition yields substantial domestic health gains—approximately 705,000 fewer diet-related deaths—but triggers trade-mediated spillovers that increase mortality outside Europe by roughly 118,000 deaths, a health leakage rate of around 16%. Within Europe, livestock production contracts and healthy-food output expands, generating large price shifts transmitted internationally through trade. Non-EU regions, particularly low- and middle-income countries, face higher prices for healthy foods and greater exposure to cheap animal products. These results show that demand-side dietary transitions alone do not deliver global health benefits: changing what people eat does not necessarily change what the food system produces. Combined supply- and demand-side policies can substantially reduce this health leakage. |
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- Climate change policy - Climate impacts - Environmental policies - Trade and the environment - Food prices and food security |
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Public Access  GTAP Resource (213.6 KB) Replicated: 0 time(s)Restricted Access No documents have been attached. Special Instructions Working paper, draft under development. |
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Last Modified: 4/30/2026 12:56:16 PM
